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Housing costs have gone up, but still affordable: analyst

Cory Hurley
Published on August 10, 2010
Published on August 9, 2010
Cory Hurley  RSS Feed

CORNER BROOK A significant, yet suspected, increase in the prices of housing in Corner Brook and the surrounding area looks to have peaked, says Chris Janes.

Topics :
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation , Newfoundland and Labrador , Canada , Gander

The senior market analyst with the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said the average resale price for houses in the city, as of the end of July, is $187,000 — about a 15 per cent rise from the $162,000 at the same time last year.

He said it is a continuation of an upswing since the average house cost $130,000 in January 2008.

Janes said he thinks the prices have peaked, an end of about a five-year growth trend, that particularly increased in the past year and a half.

“We are starting to see now, some increased inventory, which is favourable for buyers obviously,” he said.

“We see price reductions on overpriced listings, and sales are starting to tail off a bit too.

“We have seen some indicators that would suggest prices have likely peaked and, it’s like anything, it can’t go up forever. It has to stabilize at some point.”

He said the increase is a reflection of what is happening provincewide, particularly in St. John’s and similar in Gander and Grand Falls-Windsor. Looking back over the past decade, Janes said Newfoundland and Labrador has been an undervalued market, so the increase was an eventuality.

“We were the only province in Canada where price growth was below the long-term average of what it had been historically,” he said.

“We were poised, I suppose, for some sort of stimulus to come into the market and drive house prices north. We certainly saw that with the oil sector and the benefits that have been derived from that.”

It was a common trend to see people fluctuate toward smaller communities just outside of Corner Brook, mainly due to lower housing costs.

Janes said that is not as much the case as it once was, something he attributed to a higher demand driving up the land values in the more rural municipalities.

The average resale price of housing in the western region is now about $175,000, he said, up from about $155,000 at the end of July 2009.

Even though the housing costs on the market have risen substantially, the analyst feels it remains quite affordable to the public in general.

He said employment and income growth, two key indicators for the housing market, has also experienced growth. However, more significantly, this province remains one of the cheapest places to live.

“If we compare to other markets in Canada, Newfoundland remains one of the most affordable housing markets in the country,” he said. “We have some very strong income growth to back that up as well.

“Provided mortgage rates stay relatively low and everything stays the course, we don’t see it being a big issue in terms of affordability.”

Comments

  • Username
    Gerald Hutchings
    - May 16, 2011 at 18:34:32

    I too used to enjoy online reading of western star practically every day in the old format. (several yrs ago) With the new format I stop by for a look maybe once in a week ... or two. most disappointing is the merkado want ads.

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  • Username
    micheal
    - August 21, 2010 at 11:40:20

    I have been looking at home price in the Corner Brook area for the past 3 years, it's normal that prices of homes have to go up. Prices go up in corrolation with salaries. For a house to be affordable, it as to be 3 times the gross annual salary or less, now if your salary is $60,000.00 per year than the price of the house that you are purchasing or buidind should not be creater than $180,000.00. This should be base on one salary alone, not on the total household salary. if people take into account both salaries than the price a house will be much higher,( i.e total salaries $100,000.00 x 3=$300,000.00), if people are using this formula to make the purchase of a home thne if you are paying $300,000.00 for house than this house is not affordable, if this is the case than a housing bubble is certainly a possibilty. Also pruchasers have to be carefull of the supply and demand equation , the biggest variable to a house price is the cost of puchasing a parcel of land, if the demand is greater than the supply than prices will certainly go up. I think that we are setting up for a big bubble once interest rate start to rise, and this this will certainly happen sooner rather than latet.

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  • Username
    Greg
    - August 13, 2010 at 06:25:59

    There is no home in the Corner Brook or surrounding area worth what people are asking for their homes. There's no industry or business to sustain what's happening in the area and this large BUBBLE will eventually burst, and houses will be affordable once again. With the many retail companies and call centres in the area, there's no way anyone can afford the prices now and I'm pretty sure there are people who are biting their nails each time interest rates rise a small bit. The "Humber Valley Resort" impact is definitely what's driven this market. Oh, I also agree that The Western Star's site needs major improvement. This is not something that impresses me that much as well. Go back to the old format.

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  • Username
    Brad
    - August 13, 2010 at 06:25:23

    I agree with Steven the new website is terrible I now read the western star about once a week because the website is the worst!!!!!!!!!!!

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  • Username
    AffordableMyArse
    - August 11, 2010 at 20:54:48

    Could someone tell me where the good paying jobs are to in Corner Brook so I can afford a house in the area? Housing Collapse Cascade Pattern "Bubble" * Volume drops precipitously * Prices soften a bit * Inventory levels rise slowly * High-end home prices remain relatively steady for a brief while longer * The real estate industry tries to convince everyone it's "business as usual" and homes are affordable because rates are low * Bubble denial kicks in with media articles everywhere touting the "fundamentals" * Stubborn sellers hold out for last year's prices as volume continues to shrink * Inventory levels reach new highs * Builders start offering huge incentives to clear inventory * Some sellers finally realize (too late) what is happening * Price declines hit the high-end * Increasingly desperate sellers get creative with incentives, offering new cars, below market interest rates, trips, etc * Gimmicks do not work * Price declines escalate sharply at all price levels * The Central Bank issues statements that housing is fundamentally sound * Prices collapse, inventory skyrockets, and builders holding inventory go bankrupt

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  • Username
    Steven
    - August 10, 2010 at 17:43:10

    I used to enjoy coming to thewesternstar.com to get the local news, but ever since you guys changed the layout this site is very very terrible. The different columns (sports, local, etc) are never ever updated. can someone explain to me why you never update the site daily anymore? I see 1-2 stories added each day. Besides that it is the same headlines every day. Very poor job by the western star staff.

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  • Username
    Potential Buyer
    - August 10, 2010 at 13:33:13

    Affordable MY A$$. Corner Brook housing was sky-rocketed by HVR more so than any oil industry and when that place goes bankrupt houses still continue to rise. The job opportunities for young people, or anyone in that case are slim and you expect people to be able to afford to live comfortably with a $200,000+ mortgage. If you take the time to look on the mainland at places like Halifax for example you will see for the same prices as Corner Brook you can get nicer and newer homes. This is just my opinion, but Corner Brook is overpriced for the economy we have.

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    • Username
      Melinda
      - February 7, 2011 at 15:40:23

      I agree with you. The cost of buying a home in Corner Brook and surrounding areas are not affordable. Where is everyone getting the good jobs in Corner Brook to pay for those big Mortgages?

  • Username
    David
    - August 10, 2010 at 10:07:51

    ....the analyst feels it remains quite affordable to the public in general..... Yup. Free money will do that. Take the CMHC analyst's opinion for what it actually is....desparate cheerleading, as directed by his employer, that helps him keep his job.

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