According to the latest poll results, if a general provincial election was held today, Dwight Ball of Deer Lake would be the premier of Newfoundland and Labrador.
The big problem with that theory is that the election won’t be held for another two years and plenty can change in that time.
The results of the Corporate Research Associates poll released Monday showed the Liberals who just elected Ball as their permanent leader have a wide lead over the ruling Tories and the stumbling NDP.
The Liberals are in a prime position. They are leading in the polls and they don’t have to run the government.
The Grit members can stand on the opposition side of the House of Assembly and do their best to keep the pressure on the government about every issue that rears its ugly head.
And Ball and his growing Liberal caucus don’t have to make a decision or explain any choices they make — unpopular or otherwise.
While the Dunderdale administration has to keep the government running and take the political heat for everything that goes wrong — and plenty can and does go wrong — the Liberals just have to look like they are prepared to run the province better than the PCs without ever having to do anything that can make them look bad.
If there’s a wild card, it’s time.
It seems to have finally dawned on Premier Dunderdale that she has to change her approach, polish her image and make good use of the next two years to turn around what has been a crushing period where the voting public has turned against her and her government.
Dwight Ball and his MHAs have the inside track as it stands today. Tomorrow is another story entirely.